The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tenerife 67.4%
Draw 24%
Lugo 8.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
26.7%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
26%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tenerife - Lugo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 19. Alvarez C. 14. Lopez N. 6. Juanjo 27. Ulloa A. 10. Gil N. 18. Enric 9. de Miguel J.
1. Martinez M. (G) 20. Lopez I. 3. Garriz I. 16. Jose Amo 6. Haro P. 14. Presa K. 10. Alba T. 23. Junior L. 9. Celorio N. 5. Gallar A. 15. Reniero N.
Substitutes
3. Aguero F. 17. Balde M. 24. Chapela I. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 20. Manjam A. 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 22. Valles G. 5. Yaakobishvili A.
8. Balboa A. 24. Gaya J. 7. Gonzalez J. 13. Piedra I. (G) 22. Samanes S. 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O. 4. Trigueros P. 19. Unzueta I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Gil N. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
59', de Miguel J. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
60', Alba T. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
60', Junior L. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
63', Reniero N. 🟨,
68', Celorio N. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
68', Presa K. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
70', Garriz I. 🟨,
73', Enric ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
89', Lopez N. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
Spain
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Martin D. (G) 
Landazuri A. 
Junior L. 
Reniero N. 
Valles G. 
Yaakobishvili A. 
Balboa A. 
Teofilovic O. 
