Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 2

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)


	Lugo		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.3
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.05	3.04	2.49
	3.3	3.05	2.25
	3.1	2.95	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	2.32 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
29.3%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo A Coruña
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Lopez A. 4. Perez G. 14. Morgado C. 3. Vazquez J. 21. Abdulai S. 7. Ledesma L. 8. Aguza S. 15. Narro V. 19. Fuentes A. 9. Quintana Nacho	13. Parreno G. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Vazquez Perez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 11. Davo 8. Villares D. 20. Jose Angel 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Perez L. 9. Barbero I.
Substitutes
23. Antonetti L. 11. Antonín 6. Castrin A. 27. Gonzalez J. 30. Lizancos A. 2. Martinez C. J. 26. Roson D. 28. Taboada E. 13. Tabuaco G. (G) 36. Vazquez B. (G)	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 5. Barcia D. 14. Cayarga B. 1. Mackay I. (G) 27. Mella D. 16. Munoz P. 26. Noriega J. 29. Ochoa M. 17. Rama H. 3. Retu 19. Sanchez J. 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 21. Valcarce P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.08.23	Lugo - Teruel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Arenteiro - Lugo	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Lugo - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWTT
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.08.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
10.08.23	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Arteixo	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Lugo	0:0
01.12.19	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
19.05.19	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
06.01.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Lugo	0:0
Club Friendly
08.08.18	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2
02.09.15	Deportivo A Coruña - Lugo	2:2
25.07.15	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0

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