The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 56.6%
Draw 25.4%
Lugo 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
27%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
22.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Torres R. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. 20. Miguel 17. Fernandez P. 14. Sanz O. 6. Gorostidi A. 8. Montalvo M. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin
1. Lavin M. (G) 20. Sanchez M. 4. Ruiz E. 23. Rodriguez J. 3. Zoilo A. 8. Gonzalez Y. 14. Vidal D. 2. Lizancos A. 24. Martinez R. 19. Afriyie J. 9. Mendoza B.
Substitutes
23. Concha D. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 38. Gutierrez A. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 15. Leal A. 37. Pujol E. 29. Subirats O. 1. Varo A. (G)
5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 21. Ceberio J. 32. Cindre X. 7. Hernandez R. 6. Nicholas N. 17. Ochoa M. 34. Padin H. 33. Pereira P. 29. Rubal P. 22. Vaquero
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Perez G. 🟨,
16', Mendoza B. 🟨,
22', Narro V. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Antonin ⚽,
35', Ruiz E. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Oriol J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Sanchez M. ↓, Rubal P. ↑,
62', Vidal D. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
65', Narro V. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Lizancos A. ⚽,
70', Miguel 🟨,
79', Lizancos A. 🟨,
80', Antonin ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
80', Torres R. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
85', Mendoza B. ↓, Padin H. ↑,
87', Perez G. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
87', Miguel ↓, Leal A. ↑,
88', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Afriyie J. ⚽,
90+2', Afriyie J. 🟨,
90+4', Ruiz E. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 2.
In recent matches, Gimnàstic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lugo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Gimnàstic is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Spain
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Rebollo D. (G) 
Afriyie J. 
Mendoza B. 
Cindre X. 
Nicholas N. 
Pereira P. 
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