Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Lugo		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.75
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.42	3.05	2.82
	2.49	2.99	2.81
	2.49	3.12	2.82	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.42	2.95	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	2.78 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
37.2%

Draw
30.3%

Zamora
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Lugo - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 14. Presa K. 16. Jose Amo 3. Garriz I. 4. Trigueros P. 8. Balboa A. 12. Perera A. 31. Alcalde A. 5. Gallar A. 23. Junior L. 15. Reniero N.	1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Lopez S. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 16. Lozano M. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike 10. Ramos C. (C) 19. Abde 9. Losada M.
Substitutes
10. Alba T. 26. Balcedo T. 27. Buide M. 17. Caballo D. 9. Celorio N. 18. Costa G. 13. Piedra I. (G) 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O. 19. Unzueta I.	15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 8. Marcelo A. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J. 27. Sy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Jose Amo 🟨,
29', Kike 🟨,
32', Perera A. 🟨,
37', Balboa A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Reniero N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Codina M. 🟨,
57', Reniero N. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
57', Jose Amo ↓, Balcedo T. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Garcia M. ⚽,
66', Balboa A. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
66', Perera A. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
72', Martinez M. 🟨,
75', Kike ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
75', Lozano M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Carbonell J. ⚽,
79', Junior L. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
87', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
88', Trigueros P. 🟨,
90+6', Garcia M. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Lugo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zamora is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lugo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.26	Mérida AD - Lugo	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lugo - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Lugo - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.05.26	Zamora - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Zamora - Lugo	1:0
17.05.25	Lugo - Zamora	2:0
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0

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