Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.27	3.07	3.32
	2.23	3.01	3.26	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.29
	2.22	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	3.03 ↓ (3.09)	3.2 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
41.1%

Draw
30.3%

Lugo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Sociedad B - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 5. Astigarraga E. 3. Balda J. 22. Ruperez I. 6. Lebarbier A. 28. Carbonell T. 10. Goti Lopez M. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 9. Orobengoa E.	1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. 3. Zoilo A. 8. Gonzalez Y. 22. Vaquero 10. Cabo J. 24. Martinez R. 7. Hernandez R. 17. Ochoa M.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 7. Diaz D. 18. Garcia E. 16. Gibelalde M. 26. Gorosabel J. 31. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 11. Ochieng J. 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M.	13. Cacharron P. (G) 19. Cuellar J. 27. Gonzalez J. 18. Lesme F. 6. Nicholas N. 28. Noya D. 11. Perero G. 29. Rubal P. 20. Sanchez M. 14. Vidal D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
37', Balda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ochoa M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
69', Zoilo A. ↓, Nicholas N. ↑,
74', Martinez R. 🟨,
84', Lizancos A. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
84', Martinez R. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Real Sociedad B have a series of guest games.

Real Sociedad B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
English Premier League International Cup
17.09.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.24	Real Sociedad B - Sestao	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLTWW
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.09.24	Lugo - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sestao - Lugo	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Lugo - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.01.24	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	1:0
23.09.23	Real Sociedad B - Lugo	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.22	Real Sociedad B - Lugo	1:1
21.08.21	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	0:0

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