Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Osasuna B		Lugo

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.15	2.92	2.28
	3.35	3	2.31
	3.31	2.98	2.32	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.25
	3.2	2.88	2.28
	3.2	2.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.82)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.26 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
28.2%

Draw
31.4%

Lugo
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

31.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Osasuna B - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Osasuna B will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 3. Jimenez A. 4. Espejo D. 6. Echegoyen M. 8. Yoldi A. 9. Gonzalez D. 16. Auria M. 17. Arroyo R. 22. Larrion A. 23. Serrano M. 34. Arrasate I.	1. Martinez M. (C) 20. Lopez I. 24. Gaya J. 16. Jose Amo 6. Nicholas N. 10. Alba T. 8. Balboa A. 5. Carbonell A. 22. Samanes S. 15. Reniero N. 19. Unzueta I.
Substitutes
29. Alonso A. 30. Anso M. 18. Bonel A. 14. Garcia J. 26. Garin X. 35. Kall A. 36. Kepa 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G)	17. Caballo D. 9. Celorio N. 3. Garriz I. 7. Gonzalez J. 23. Junior L. 2. Merino J. 11. Pastrana V. 13. Piedra I. (G) 14. Presa K. 18. Roson D. 21. Teofilovic O. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Yoldi A. 🟨,
29', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Echegoyen M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
65', Gonzalez D. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
68', Balboa A. 🟨,
69', Balboa A. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
70', Jimenez A. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
70', Arroyo R. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
75', Carbonell A. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
75', Alba T. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
79', Larrion A. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
82', Reniero N. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
90+9', Presa K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cacereño - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.25	Lugo - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lugo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.02.25	Lugo - Osasuna B	3:1
27.10.24	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:1
11.02.24	Lugo - Osasuna B	1:1
08.10.23	Osasuna B - Lugo	1:2

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