Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Lugo B		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.82	2.58
	2.91	2.93	2.53	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.6
	2.79	2.73	2.58
	2.85	2.71	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)	2.76 ↓ (3.05)	2.58 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo B
32.1%

Draw
32.8%

RC Villalbes
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Lugo B - RC Villalbes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villalbes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7:5	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Barbadás - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lugo B - Alondras	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Lugo B - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gran Peña - Lugo B	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Lugo B - Silva SD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTWL
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	RC Villalbes - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Silva SD - RC Villalbes	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	RC Villalbes - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Juventud Cambados - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	RC Villalbes - Boiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWT

Lugo B - RC Villalbes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide