Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Concacaf GO, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	2.70	3.20	2.30
	3.30	3.05	2.21
	3.09	3.28	2.27	Watch
	3.30	2.95	2.15
				Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.7)	3.12 ↓ (3.33)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
29.2%

Draw
29.2%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrera G. (G) 24. Jimenez J. 6. Vigil E. 3. Arizala Dajomes W. Y. (C) 12. Flores Sanchez D. A. 26. Mercado M. 17. Cerritos M. 10. Garcia V. 28. Aguila R. 7. Vasquez Velasquez L. S. 27. Ortez D.	1. Menjivar E. (C) 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 8. Rodriguez E. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 18. Garcia R. 7. Enriquez I. 23. Alvarez J. 19. Arboleda Y.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. (G) 16. Ceren O. 2. Cornejo M. 35. Diaz N. 29. Erazo M. (G) 4. Flores E. 19. Gil C. 9. Gonzalez M. E. 8. Landaverde Alvarez B. B. 30. Quintanilla J. 36. Rodriguez E. 20. Valencia J.	9. Benguche J. 31. Dibble N. 26. Flores D. 6. Garcia F. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 45. Martinez B. 39. Ortiz A. 25. Paguada D. 21. Pena K. 68. Rodriguez J. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
Coaches
Solano M.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Garcia R. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, Arboleda Y. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
60', Garcia V. ↓, Landaverde Alvarez B. B. ↑,
61', Mercado M. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
63', Hernandez E. 🟨,
72', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
78', Alvarez J. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
78', Arboleda Y. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
78', Rodriguez E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
83', Ortez D. ↓, Ceren O. ↑,
83', Flores Sanchez D. A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Dibble N. ⚽, Canales C. (A),
89', Arizala Dajomes W. Y. 🟨,
89', Jimenez J. 🟨,
89', Dibble N. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Enriquez I. ↓, Paguada D. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luis Ángel Firpo - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Xelajú - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
23.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWW
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTW

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