Match Info

Date: 12 November 2020, Thursday


	Luki-Energiya		Smolensk

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2	3.35	3.15
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.91	3.46	3.4
	1.94	3.42	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
45.7%

Draw
26.9%

Smolensk
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luki-Energiya's performance.

Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luki-Energiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolensk than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luki Energiya - Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Luki-Energiya has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Smolensk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luki-Energiya will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luki-Energiya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Luki-Energiya - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	2:3 ✺
25.10.20	Murom - Luki-Energiya	3:1 ✺
13.10.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Luki-Energiya	6:0 ✺
09.10.20	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- FC Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Smolensk - Murom	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Smolensk	4:0 ✺
18.10.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Smolensk	4:1 ✺
13.10.20	Leningradets - Smolensk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	0:0

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