Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257


	Lumezzane		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.1
	2.11	3.24	3.55
	2.11	3.24	3.43	Watch
	2.1	3.39	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	3.36 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
43.7%

Draw
28.6%

Ospitaletto
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Lumezzane aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lumezzane - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 6. Pogliano C. 17. De Marino D. 95. Motta M. 10. Malotti M. 4. Paghera F. 8. Rocca M. 21. Iori M. 7. Ferro M. 19. Rolando M.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 4. Nessi R. 33. Sina S. 74. Pollio D. 26. Mondini G. 28. Panatti M. 43. Guarneri M. 7. Messaggi C. 99. Bertoli M. 21. Torri A.
Substitutes
12. Battagliola L. (G) 20. Caccavo L. 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 77. Diodato S. 9. Donnarumma A. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 11. Ghillani A. 27. Napolitano G. 15. Ndiaye M. 3. Pagliari M. 41. Scanzi M. 39. Serpa A. 76. Simoncelli F.	22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 14. Contessi A. 24. Diop S. 9. Gobbi F. 16. Gualandris M. 10. Ievoli M. 45. Mazza L. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 13. Sinn L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Moscati M. 🟨,
34', Malotti M. 🟨,
35', De Marino D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Malotti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Torri A. ↓, Gobbi F. ↑,
57', Regazzetti S. ↓, Gualandris M. ↑,
62', Malotti M. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
63', Iori M. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
65', Gualandris M. 🟨,
67', Paghera F. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Rolando M. ⚽,
77', Rolando M. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
77', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
77', Guarneri M. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
84', Mondini G. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
85', Moscati M. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
85', Paghera F. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
90+2', Sina S. 🟥,

Preview

Lumezzane is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ospitaletto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ospitaletto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Lumezzane - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.25	Lumezzane - Triestina	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Lumezzane - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
12.09.25	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ospitaletto - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTTLW

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