Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Luparense		Bassano Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.21	3.12	3.13	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.1
	2.17	3.1	3.15
	2.12	3.14	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.37)	3.06 ↓ (3.43)	3.13 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
41.5%

Draw
29.6%

Bassano Virtus
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bassano Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bassano Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bassano Virtus than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bassano Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luparense - Bassano Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Diallo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Luparense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Luparense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
7	Bassano	6	2	3	1	6:3	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Luparense - Adriese	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Luparense - Este	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigasio - Luparense	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	Luparense - Conegliano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLT
- Bassano Virtus
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Bassano Virtus - Union Clodiense	1:3 ✺
06.01.26	Legnago Salus - Bassano Virtus	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Calvi Noale - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bassano Virtus - Brian Lignano	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
20.09.25	Bassano Virtus - Luparense	2:0
25.02.24	Luparense - Bassano Virtus	0:1
22.10.23	Bassano Virtus - Luparense	2:1

Luparense - Bassano Virtus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide