Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Mestre		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.2	1.37
	5.5	4	1.45
	5.4	3.9	1.45
	6	3.97	1.41
	6.4	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (4.43)	4.09 ↑ (3.59)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
14.9%

Draw
21.9%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.1%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

19.1%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union ArzignanoChiampo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union ArzignanoChiampo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mestre - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Mestre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ArzignanoChiampo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match ArzignanoChiampo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mestre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mestre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
24.10.21	Luparense - Mestre	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Mestre - Levico Terme	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Adriese - Mestre	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Mestre - Delta Porto Tolle	0:4 ✺
18.09.21	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie D - Group C
24.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	4:2 ✺
17.10.21	Delta Porto Tolle - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:4 ✺
10.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cartigliano	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:3 ✺
26.09.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Montebelluna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
05.05.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Mestre	2:1
06.01.21	Mestre - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
05.03.17	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Mestre	1:1
30.10.16	Mestre - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1

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