Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.07	3.26	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	2.03	3.39	3.54	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.64)	3.23 ↓ (3.71)	3.66 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
46.2%

Draw
28.6%

Caldiero Terme
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union ArzignanoChiampo's form might have worsened.

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caldiero Terme's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ArzignanoChiampo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Manfrin F. (G) 57. Milillo A. 4. Rossoni S. 33. Boffelli A. 13. Cariolato F. 6. Lakti E. 5. Bordo L. 23. Bernardi E. 17. Barba G. 72. Mattioli A. 21. Jallow S.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 13. Pelagatti C. 33. Mazzolo F. 24. Gobetti N. 26. Mondini G. 8. Filiciotto A. 4. Gattoni T. 3. Parodi G. 10. Fasan N. 97. Cazzadori D. 7. Zerbato L. (C)
Substitutes
26. Boccia S. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 25. Brevi T. 32. Campesan E. 2. De Zen R. 14. Di Virgilio M. 8. Fofana L. 10. Lunghi A. 9. Menabo S. 27. Toniolo F. 96. Verduci G. 44. Zanella A. (G)	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 20. Florio M. 15. Gecchele P. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 11. Marras T. 28. Molnar I. 44. Nessi R. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽,
24', Cariolato F. 🟨,
30', Filiciotto A. 🟨,
36', Lakti E. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Milillo A. ↓, Boccia S. ↑,
56', Zerbato L. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
59', Jallow S. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Mattioli A. ⚽,
67', Mondini G. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
68', Parodi G. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
69', Boffelli A. 🟨,
72', Lunghi A. 🟨,
77', Mazzolo F. ↓, Nessi R. ↑,
77', Cazzadori D. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
77', Cariolato F. ↓, Toniolo F. ↑,
89', Barba G. ↓, Verduci G. ↑,
89', Mattioli A. ↓, Fofana L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Bernardi E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match ArzignanoChiampo is a favorite.

There will not play in ArzignanoChiampo: Shiba C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Caldiero Terme: Baldani N. (Inactive) Gecchele P. (Inactive) Giacomel A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in ArzignanoChiampo: Antoniazzi M. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches ArzignanoChiampo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams ArzignanoChiampo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
05.04.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
13.03.25	Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lumezzane - Caldiero Terme	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Vicenza Virtus - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Novara	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
01.12.24	Caldiero Terme - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group C
06.03.22	Caldiero Terme - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2
24.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	4:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.06.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ET
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.02.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	0:0

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