Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Sintrense		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	3.1	3.15	2.18
	3.23	2.67	2.41
	3.1	3.15	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sintrense
29.7%

Draw
30.9%

Lusitano GC
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sintrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Sintrense - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Santana C. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Santana C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Lusitano GC is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Recently Sintrense have a series of guest games.

Lusitano GC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sintrense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sintrense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Serpa - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Moura - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Amora - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sintrense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWTW
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lusitano GC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.12.24	Lusitano GC - Sintrense	2:0
07.01.24	Lusitano GC - Sintrense	0:0
20.08.23	Sintrense - Lusitano GC	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.11.19	Sintrense - Lusitano GC	1:0

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