Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Lusitano GC		Louletano

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	1.66	3.45	4.8
	1.66	3.32	5.13
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	3.37 ↑ (3.26)	4.66 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
53.6%

Draw
26.9%

Louletano
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Louletano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Lusitano GC - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 3).

Lusitano GC in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Louletano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lusitano GC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWT
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Louletano - Serpa	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Moura - Louletano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Louletano - Amora	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lagoa - Louletano	0:5 ✺
15.02.25	Louletano - Estrela da Amadora B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.12.24	Louletano - Lusitano GC	2:3
18.02.24	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:1
28.10.23	Louletano - Lusitano GC	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.21	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0
21.12.19	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:1

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