Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.53
	5.1	3.65	1.5
	5.2	3.75	1.52
	5.1	3.68	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.4)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
17.3%

Draw
24.3%

Lusitânia
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.1%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

14.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Canelas - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
10.02.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:3 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Anadia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.02.21	Águeda - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitânia - Canelas	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Lusitânia - Anadia	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.09.20	Lusitânia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	2:1
31.03.19	Lusitânia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0
11.11.18	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Lusitânia	0:0

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