Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitânia		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.83	5.27
	1.64	3.82	5.2	Watch
	1.62	3.62	4.87
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	3.68 ↓ (3.93)	4.93 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
56.4%

Draw
25%

São João de Ver
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lusitânia - São João de Ver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cioletti G. (G) 2. Nhayson 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 5. Oliveira J. 6. Martins H. 18. Pereira D. 80. Renato Luis 11. Pereira M. 77. Goba Zakpa 10. Ribeiro S.	92. Mello R. (G) 55. Paulinho 12. Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 54. Tavares R. 90. Ruca 6. Barbosa D. 22. Batista J. 88. Paulo Lima 8. Fortunato B. 9. Victor J. 18. Claro A.
Substitutes
7. Avto 85. Castro D. 29. Cerveira T. 20. Faria R. 21. Joao Vasco 41. Ricardo M. (G) 88. Teixeira M. 30. Veiga R. 9. Villela L.	10. Andrezinho 4. Balde F. 97. Bechou Y. 99. Benjamim R. (G) 28. Gomes C. 5. Goncalves E. 16. Jesse P. 2. Jota Oliveira 31. Pereira Tomas Mendes Rebelo D. 3. Vini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Paulo Lima 🟨,
23', Collard D. 🟨,
29', Goba Zakpa 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Victor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ribeiro S. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
46', Nhayson ↓, Castro D. ↑,
46', Renato Luis ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
58', Tavares R. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Goba Zakpa (Pen),
63', Paulo Lima ↓, Pereira Tomas Mendes Rebelo D. ↑,
76', Pereira D. ↓, Avto ↑,
76', Batista J. ↓, Jesse P. ↑,
76', Claro A. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
83', Joao Vasco 🟨,
90', Joao Vasco 🟨,
90', Jesse P. 🟨,
90+1', Goba Zakpa ↓, Villela L. ↑,
90+2', Ruca 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Collard D. ⚽,
90+5', Barbosa D. ↓, Bechou Y. ↑,
90+8', Avto 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Lusitânia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São João de Ver is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
27.10.24	Lusitânia - Trofense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTWW
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.24	Varzim - São João de Ver	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	São João de Ver - Anadia	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fafe - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	São João de Ver - Serpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.08.24	São João de Ver - Lusitânia	1:0
09.02.22	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	2:1
03.10.21	São João de Ver - Lusitânia	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.21	São João de Ver - Lusitânia	2:0
10.01.21	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	1:2

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