Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Lusitânia		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.83
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	3.2	3.2	2.18
	3.44	3.2	2.25
	3.34	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.34	3.14	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
26.7%

Draw
29.3%

Académico de Viseu
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Lusitânia - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 29. Cerveira T. 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio (C) 77. Tiago Dias 27. Fabinho 6. Alhassan I. 88. Teixeira M. 11. Pereira M. 9. Silva J. 60. Danny	75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 41. Correia A. 5. Pedro Barcelos 57. Costa G. 6. Ceitil A. 14. Messeguem S. (C) 31. Joao Guilherme 17. Kahraman C. 32. Zamora A. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 7. Martins R. 28. Mesquita T. 24. Mimito 99. Platiny 23. Ribeiro M. (G) 16. Rocha L. 8. Tokinho Doria	1. Bruno Brigido (G) 21. Domingos T. 47. Gohi L. 8. Kone S. 22. Mortimer N. 44. Pereira R. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T. 11. Steczyk D.
Coaches
Miguel Pedro	Fonseca S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Kahraman C. ⚽,
37', Robinho 🟨,
41', Tiago Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tiago Dias ↓, Martins R. ↑,
60', Danny 🟨,
60', Martins R. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Zamora A. ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, Kahraman C. ⚽,
74', Joao Guilherme ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
74', Robinho ↓, Domingos T. ↑,
75', Alhassan I. ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
75', Teixeira M. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
75', Josue Sa ↓, Faria B. ↑,
76', Cerveira T. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
85', Zamora A. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
85', Kahraman C. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
90', Messeguem S. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In recent matches, Lusitânia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Viseu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Viseu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Viseu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Académico de Viseu - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.26	Vizela - Lusitânia	4:3 ✺
08.03.26	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lusitânia - Feirense	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Penafiel - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
14.03.26	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Académico de Viseu - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.25	Académico de Viseu - Lusitânia	3:2
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Lusitânia - Académico de Viseu	1:2

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