Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Vizela		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.02	3.2	3.6
	2.07	3.27	3.91
	2.01	3.34	3.75	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.03	3.24	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.89)	3.21 ↓ (3.46)	3.67 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vizela
45.9%

Draw
28.9%

Lusitânia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Vizela - Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lusitânia (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 13. Rocha L. 37. Sampaio J. 20. Godwin O. 22. Busnic A. 5. Moha Moukhliss 21. Ramos R. 24. Morschel H. (C) 36. Lacava M. 23. Fortune Y.	32. Vitor Hugo (G) 28. Mesquita T. (C) 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio 29. Cerveira T. 27. Fabinho 8. Tokinho Doria 88. Teixeira M. 11. Pereira M. 9. Silva J. 12. Arsenio
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 18. Demchenko N. 45. Ivanov H. 6. Jota Goncalves 29. Kitala Y. 7. Loppy D. 14. Pierre L. 92. Souza P. (G) 11. Thio	6. Alhassan I. 22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 80. Manel 7. Martins R. 24. Mimito 16. Rocha L. 23. Sousa M. (G) 77. Tiago Dias
Coaches
Ramirez R.	Miguel Pedro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽, Lacava M. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Pereira M. ⚽, Fabinho (A),
28', 2 - 1, Fortune Y. ⚽,
45+1', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Arsenio ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Tiago Dias ⚽, Fabinho (A),
56', 3 - 2, Morschel H. ⚽,
66', 4 - 2, Morschel H. ⚽, Lacava M. (A),
67', Teixeira M. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Martins R. ↑,
67', Tokinho Doria ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
76', Gomis A. 🟨,
82', 4 - 3, Fabinho ⚽,
83', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
83', Ramos R. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
83', Fortune Y. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
88', Lacava M. ↓, Thio ↑,
88', Mesquita T. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
90', Silverio 🟨,
90+2', Tiago Dias 🟨,
90+2', Rocha L. 🟨,
90+3', Morschel H. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vizela might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Vizela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Vizela - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.26	Felgueiras - Vizela	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vizela - Chaves	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Leixões - Vizela	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Vizela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLL
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.26	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lusitânia - Feirense	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Penafiel - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Lusitânia - Vizela	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Vizela - Lusitânia	0:1

Upcoming Matches