Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Lusitânia		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.6
	2.58	3.05	2.72
	2.54	3.24	2.79
	2.72	3.04	2.72	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.67	2.99	2.7	Watch
	2.57	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.59)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	2.7 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
35.5%

Draw
30.3%

Feirense
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Lusitânia - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 12. Arsenio 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio (C) 16. Rocha L. 60. Danny 8. Tokinho Doria 11. Pereira M. 88. Teixeira M. 7. Martins R. 9. Silva J.	26. Altube D. (G) 2. Gustavo 4. Leal A. 21. Fernandes E. 16. Lopes A. 17. Santos L. 6. Doumbia D. 10. Ribeiro T. (C) 20. Jojo 11. Nketia D. 77. Gui Meira
Substitutes
74. Braga G. 29. Cerveira T. 27. Fabinho 22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 28. Mesquita T. 24. Mimito 23. Sousa M. (G) 77. Tiago Dias	19. Arriba J. 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 89. Joao Lima 1. Meixedo F. (G) 40. Mendes P. 8. Novero G. 22. Popoola S. 5. Silva B. 12. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Miguel Pedro	Costa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Silverio 🟨,
49', Leal A. 🟨,
51', Santos L. 🟨,
56', Rocha L. 🟥,
61', Martins R. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
62', Nketia D. 🟨,
67', Nketia D. ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
67', Gui Meira ↓, Silva B. ↑,
69', Santos L. 🟨,
76', Teixeira M. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Fernandes E. (Own goal),
79', Ribeiro T. ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
82', de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 🟨,
85', Doumbia D. ↓, Novero G. ↑,
85', Jojo ↓, Arriba J. ↑,
86', Silva J. 🟨,
90+2', Danny ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
90+2', Silva J. ↓, Faria B. ↑,
90+3', Pereira M. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
90+7', Mesquita T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Lusitânia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Feirense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Feirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1:8	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitânia - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.26	Penafiel - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Benfica B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lusitânia - Marítimo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTL
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
14.02.26	Feirense - Chaves	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Leixões - Feirense	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Feirense - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Portimonense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
19.01.26	Feirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.09.25	Feirense - Lusitânia	1:2
02.06.24	Feirense - Lusitânia	3:0
26.05.24	Lusitânia - Feirense	1:0

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