Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Machico		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.15	3.2	2
	3.75	3.11	2.07
	3.5	3.24	1.98
	3.35	3.3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.81)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
26.4%

Draw
28.3%

Valadares Gaia
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.6%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machico's form might have worsened.

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valadares Gaia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Machico - Valadares Gaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valadares Gaia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Camacha - Machico	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Machico - Resende	3:2 ✺
22.01.23	Machico - Leça	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Castro Daire - Machico	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Beira-Mar - Machico	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLWT
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Leça	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Marítimo B - Valadares Gaia	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Valadares Gaia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Valadares Gaia - Machico	2:1

Machico - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide