Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Lusitânia		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.21	3.25	2.9
	2.22	3.2	3.31
	2.2	3.32	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	3.17 ↑ (3.04)	2.98 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Vitoria Guimarães B
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

21.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitânia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lusitânia - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lusitânia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.21	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Pevidem - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Canelas - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
08.12.21	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:4 ✺
05.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
26.11.21	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	2:0 ✺
29.10.21	São João de Ver - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Lusitânia	2:0

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