Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	4.1	3.9	1.65
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	5.17	3.86	1.68
	5.05	3.6	1.64	Watch
	4.7	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.92)	3.7 ↑ (3.26)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
19.4%

Draw
24.7%

Felgueiras
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

27.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Guimarães B is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Felgueiras is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guimarães B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
05.03.23	Vilaverdense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Anadia - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
04.03.23	Felgueiras - Anadia	2:4 ✺
25.02.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:3 ✺
10.02.23	Paredes - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
03.12.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1
Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	1:1
20.03.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
26.02.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
05.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.21	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0

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