Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.35
	3.07	3.36	2.33	Watch
	3.11	3.48	2.36
	3.05	3.43	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.38
	3.03	3.42	2.33	Watch
	3.07	3.36	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
31.4%

Draw
28%

Luton Town
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Luton will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Luton (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Luton (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Luton (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 20%). Luton (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Griffiths J. (G) 2. Furlong D. 5. Bartley K. (C) 14. Heggem T. 4. Styles C. 17. Diakite O. 27. Mowatt A. 31. Fellows T. 12. Dike D. 21. Price I. 18. Grant K.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 6. McGuinness M. 15. Mengi T. 25. Jones I. 18. Clark J. 20. Walsh L. 3. Bell A. 21. Miller M. 9. Morris C. (C) 8. Aasgaard T.
Substitutes
6. Ajayi S. 32. Armstrong A. 44. Cole D. 11. Diangana G. 22. Johnston M. 19. Lankshear W. 8. Molumby J. 34. Whitwell H. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)	5. Andersen M. 26. Baptiste S. 16. Burke R. 14. Chong T. 22. Dabo L. 23. Krul T. (G) 12. Naismith K. 37. Nelson Z. 44. Nordas L.
Coaches
Morrison J.	Bloomfield M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Fellows T. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Aasgaard T. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Dike D. ⚽, Styles C. (A),
33', 3 - 1, Fellows T. ⚽, Dike D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Morris C. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
46', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
53', Bartley K. ↓, Ajayi S. ↑,
57', 4 - 1, Styles C. ⚽, Furlong D. (A),
61', 5 - 1, Styles C. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
62', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
62', Jones I. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
62', Diakite O. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
62', Dike D. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
65', 5 - 2, Clark J. ⚽, Chong T. (A),
72', Aasgaard T. 🟨,
73', Ajayi S. 🟨,
78', Fellows T. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
78', Price I. ↓, Whitwell H. ↑,
84', Mengi T. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
88', 5 - 3, Alli M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
90+4', Clark J. 🟨,
90+5', Furlong D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 21).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2.

West Bromwich is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Maja J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Walsh L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Bany T. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luton Town - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
26.04.25	Cardiff City - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Derby County	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL
- Luton Town
English League Championship
26.04.25	Luton Town - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Luton Town - Bristol City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Derby County - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Stoke City - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.11.24	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:1
14.01.23	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:3
08.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	0:0
19.02.22	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
14.08.21	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	3:2
01.02.20	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	2:0
17.08.19	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:2

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