Match Info

Matogrossense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Sport Sinop

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.35
	1.58	3.63	5.65	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.57	3.42	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	3.41 ↓ (3.53)	5.58 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
57.1%

Draw
26.6%

Sport Sinop
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sport Sinop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sinop than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Luverdense - Sport Sinop Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sport Sinop may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Luverdense is considered a favorite.

We predict that Luverdense will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

Including home match between the teams, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Clube Sport Sinop
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sport Sinop - Chapada	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Várzea Grande - Sport Sinop	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1
15.01.25	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	1:2
04.02.23	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1
23.01.22	Luverdense - Sport Sinop	2:0

Luverdense - Sport Sinop: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide