Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.15	2.8	3.35
	2.2	2.82	3.61
	2.21	3.02	3.36	Watch
	2.05	3.33	3.58
	2.03	3.21	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	3.34 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
42.6%

Draw
30.2%

Rio Branco AC ES
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+1%)

Luverdense - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Luverdense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rio Branco AC ES is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Luverdense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Luverdense - Goiânia	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Goianésia - Luverdense	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ceilândia - Luverdense	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLW
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Maricá	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Boavista - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
29.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
01.04.17	Rio Branco AC ES - Luverdense	2:2
29.03.17	Luverdense - Rio Branco AC ES	5:0

Luverdense - Rio Branco AC ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide