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The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 56.4%
Draw 21.6%
Luzern 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58%
20.8%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
19.9%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Lugano - Luzern Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 2. Karimov B. 8. Grgic A. 27. Dos Santos D. 46. Zanotti M. 11. Steffen R. (C) 21. Cimignani Y. 9. Ajeti Al.
30. Letica K. (G) 13. Freimann B. H. 5. Knezevic S. (C) 46. Freimann B. 22. Dantas Fernandes R. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 24. Owusu T. 11. Di Giusto M. 16. Kabwit O. 19. Mikolajewski D.
Substitutes
7. Alioski E. 91. Behrens K. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 26. Marques M. 30. Moncada D.
20. Dorn P. 9. Grbic A. 21. Luthi L. 7. Oehlers A. 10. Silva L. 1. Simoni S. (G) 15. Toggenburger N. 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.
Portmann J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Karimov B. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Mai L. (A),
15', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
35', Steffen R. 🟨,
43', Knezevic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mai L. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
46', Freimann B. H. ↓, Dorn P. ↑,
57', Steffen R. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
57', Ajeti Al. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Dantas Fernandes R. (Own goal),
66', Bertone L. 🟨,
67', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
67', Owusu T. ↓, Toggenburger N. ↑,
74', Karimov B. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Castro Espinosa B. D. (A),
79', Kabwit O. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
83', Dos Santos D. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
83', Zimmermann M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Moncada D. ⚽, von Ballmoos D. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4.
Lugano has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Luzern has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Lugano carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Lugano: Behrens K.
(Muscle Injury)
Bislimi U.
(Yellow Cards)
Cassano C.
(Knee Injury)
Steffen R.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Luzern: Bieler J.
(Muscle Injury)
Ciganiks A.
(Yellow Cards)
Dorn P.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:29 (averaging 2.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 18:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
North-macedonia
Serbia
Switzerland
International
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von Ballmoos D. (G) 
Papadopoulos A. 
Delcroix H. 
Karimov B. 
Zanotti M. 
Cimignani Y. 
Letica K. (G) 
Kabwit O. 
Mikolajewski D. 
Alioski E. 
Castro Espinosa B. D. 
Kendouci A. 
Marques M. 
Moncada D. 
Grbic A. 
Oehlers A. 
Simoni S. (G) 
