Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Luzern		Yverdon

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.5
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.7	6.02
	1.51	4.65	5.73	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.5	4.65	5.85	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)	4.61 ↓ (4.83)	5.73 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
63.2%

Draw
20.4%

Yverdon
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

22.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luzern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Luzern - Yverdon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Yverdon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 4. Jaquez L. 3. Lofgren J. 14. Ciganiks A. 8. Stankovic A. 11. Rrudhani D. 24. Owusu T. 16. Kadak J. 17. Klidje T. 9. Grbic A.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 32. Sauthier A. 25. Marques C. 2. Tijani M. 9. Ake M. 8. Legowski M. 10. Cespedes B. 45. Lembikisa D. 6. Le Pogam W. (C) 7. Rodrigues M. 21. Komano H.
Substitutes
2. Ottiger S. 7. Spadanuda K. 22. Ulrich D. 90. Vasic V. (G) 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L.	77. Avdic A. 28. Baradji M. 24. Gnakpa J. 20. Hautier J. 70. Kacuri D. 22. Martin K. (G) 11. Ntelo M. 17. Ricardo Alves 37. Sylla F.
Coaches
Frick M.	Mangiarratti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Cespedes B. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Komano H. ⚽, Ake M. (A),
33', Kadak J. 🟨,
42', Lofgren J. 🟨,
45', Cespedes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Owusu T. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
46', Kadak J. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
46', Grbic A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
65', Legowski M. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Stankovic A. ⚽,
70', Komano H. ↓, Ntelo M. ↑,
72', Lembikisa D. ↓, Sylla F. ↑,
72', Rodrigues M. ↓, Ricardo Alves ↑,
77', Sylla F. 🟨,
82', Cespedes B. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
90', Legowski M. ↓, Gnakpa J. ↑,
90', Ake M. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Marques C. (Own goal),
90+4', 2 - 3, Ntelo M. ⚽, Sylla F. (A),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Luzern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yverdon is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Luzern is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Luzern: Beka I. (Knee Injury) Chader S. (Muscle Injury) Karweina S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Yverdon: Grodem M. (Injury) Tasar V. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Yverdon: Diop D. T. (Injury) Esteves G. (Injury) Kamenovic D. (Injury) Loucif H. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Luzern won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Luzern won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
19.10.24	Young Boys - Luzern	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Luzern - Basel	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:3 ✺
Swiss Cup
15.09.24	Aarau - Luzern	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWWL
- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Super League
20.10.24	Yverdon - Lugano	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sion - Yverdon	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Yverdon - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Yverdon - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
18.05.24	Yverdon - Luzern	3:1
04.04.24	Luzern - Yverdon	1:0
23.01.24	Yverdon - Luzern	2:1
22.10.23	Luzern - Yverdon	2:1

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