Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Skif Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Romanyuk A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Lviv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	15	6	1.21
	12	5.5	1.18
	12.94	5.36	1.19
	12	4.8	1.25
	18.75	5.9	1.19	Watch
	14	5.6	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.12 ↑ (3.82)	5.53 ↑ (3.6)	1.21 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lviv
6.5%

Draw
16.7%

Chornomorets Odesa
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lviv's form might have worsened.

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chornomorets Odesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lviv than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lviv will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Chornomorets will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chornomorets: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lviv has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chornomorets is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chornomorets is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lviv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.23	Rukh Lviv - Lviv	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Lviv	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	Veres Rivne - Lviv	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
20.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Mynai	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
07.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro-1	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kolos Kovalivka	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.11.22	Chornomorets Odesa - Lviv	2:0
23.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Lviv	1:1
23.02.19	Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1
16.09.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Lviv	0:1

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