Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)


	Chornomorets Odesa		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.44
	6.5	4.5	1.44
	6.3	4.65	1.45
	6.18	4.65	1.46
	6.8	4.6	1.5	Watch
	7.4	4.6	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (5.82)	4.58 ↑ (4.09)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
14.2%

Draw
20.6%

Dnipro-1
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

22.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

22.9%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chornomorets will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dnipro-1: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varakuta D. (G) 20. Avagymyan A. 39. Badibanga Z. 11. Boychuk B. 45. Bragaru M. 9. Putrya I. (C) 79. Salyuk V. 77. Shtogrin A. 8. Sporn J. 27. Vasyliev O. 3. Yermakov V.	1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 7. Filippov O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 9. Gutsulyak O. 17. Lednev B. 27. Ocheretko O. 42. Pasich Y. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 5. Sarapiy E. 39. Svatok O. (C)
Substitutes
18. Alvarenga F. 22. Arsic V. 31. Bilyk O. (G) 17. Golub D. 5. Gucek L. 70. Iyede S. 7. Kuzyk O. 37. Ogirya V. 32. Prysyazhnyuk A. 12. Shapoval V. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 23. Ze Gomes	23. Badenko I. 83. Khan D. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 25. Kogut I. 34. Tanchyk V. 10. Tretyakov M. 33. Yurchuk V. (G)
Coaches
Grygorchuk R.	Maksymov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Ocheretko O. ⚽, Adamyuk V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Avagymyan A. 🟨,
58', Filippov O. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
66', Avagymyan A. ↓, Kuzyk O. ↑,
68', Gadzhyev R. 🟨,
68', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Tanchyk V. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Tretyakov M. ⚽,
74', Gutsulyak O. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 0.

Chornomorets is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dnipro-1 is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Chornomorets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
19.05.24	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0 ✺
01.05.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4 ✺
27.04.24	Mynai - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
19.05.24	Dnipro-1 - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Veres Rivne - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
27.11.23	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	5:2
07.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro-1	1:2
30.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
06.12.21	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1
31.07.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro-1	0:3
Ukrainian Cup
25.10.17	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 penalties

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