The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kongsvinger 59.2%
Draw 19.5%
Lyn 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
18.1%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
17.6%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kongsvinger's form might have worsened.
Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kongsvinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Kongsvinger - Lyn Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 5. Lysgard D. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 15. Lysell V. 11. Job D.
1. Pedersen A. (G) 55. Haugen S. 3. Race E. 4. Sell W. (C) 18. Nilsen H. 19. Kallevag O. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 17. Nois J. 10. Johansen M. 11. Hellum A.
Substitutes
21. Chaminta A. 1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 29. Fjellman P. 18. Flores M. 9. Johnson G. 22. Langrekken L. 19. Nielsen E. 16. Udnaes P.
25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 14. Isufi E. 22. Kurtovic W. 26. Memedov A. 7. Monglo I. 21. Skaug J. 30. Sock F.
Coaches
Vennberg J.
Aadland M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Olsen A. ⚽, Nilsen H. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Lysell V. ⚽, Christiansen R. (A),
18', 2 - 1, Sande M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 2, Olsen A. ⚽,
35', Job D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 3, Johansen M. ⚽, Haugen S. (A),
54', Lysell V. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
57', 3 - 3, Christensen F. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Lysgard D. 🟨,
61', Race E. 🟨,
66', Christiansen R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
67', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
70', Haugen S. 🟨,
71', Nois J. ↓, Skaug J. ↑,
78', 3 - 4, Hellum A. ⚽,
83', Kallevag O. ↓, Kurtovic W. ↑,
85', Lysgard D. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
85', Sande M. ↓, Chaminta A. ↑,
88', Hellum A. 🟨,
90+4', Johansen M. ↓, Barnett I. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 4, Dybevik A. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 4.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Kongsvinger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kongsvinger is a strong favorite.
We predict that Kongsvinger will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).