Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.33	11
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.25	5	12
	1.26	4.75	12
	1.23	5.45	15.5
	1.36	3.6	7.5
	1.25	5.15	11.7
	1.26	4.7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)	4.72 ↑ (3.87)	11.34 ↑ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
72.4%

Draw
19.5%

Atlético Baleares
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

22%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Málaga - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Baleares will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 7. Ferreiro D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 12. Molina M. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Vila R. (G) 14. Navarro D. 22. Ofoli F. 5. Jaume J. 23. Ferroni L. 10. Pastrana V. 19. Shashoua A. 6. Villapalos A. 8. Ramon A. 20. Munoz P. 16. Rodriguez D. (C)
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 5. Juande 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 29. Merino I. 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C.	12. Gonzalez R. 13. Lario J. (G) 7. Marong N. 21. Nana 30. Ortega D. 29. Piera J. 33. Rivas

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Atlético Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Málaga is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.01.24	Granada B - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Ceuta - Málaga	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Málaga - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.01.24	Intercity - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.24	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Baleares - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2

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