Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday


	Intercity		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.47	3.26	2.13
	3.47	3.26	2.13
	3.2	3	2
	3.47	3.13	2.14
	3.3	3.2	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
27.2%

Draw
28.6%

Málaga
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Intercity - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Intercity will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera M. (C) 2. Jaime G. 15. Perez A. 16. Galvez R. 3. Romero C. 7. Soldevila O. 4. Undabarrena E. 10. Fernandez X. 23. Pinan A. 8. Nsue E. 17. Moreno S.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 25. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 29. Merino I. 23. Sangalli L. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
5. Bellotti M. 21. Burlamaqui A. 13. Campos G. (G) 9. Etxaniz J. 26. Juanpa 20. Mendibe M. 14. Murria V. 29. Paredes A. 19. Traore M. 12. Vazquez L.	26. Cordero A. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 12. Molina M. 15. Moussa D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Ouacharaf B.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Intercity is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	Intercity - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Intercity - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Linares Deportivo - Intercity	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTT
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Málaga - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Mérida AD - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Málaga - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Málaga - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Real Murcia - Málaga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW

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