Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	México		Tres Cantos

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.65
	1.73	3.4	4.69
	2.25	2.32	4.88	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.78	3.14	5.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)	3.03 ↓ (3.52)	4.84 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

México
50.4%

Draw
30.5%

Tres Cantos
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that México's form might have worsened.

Tres Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for México, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

México - Tres Cantos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tres Cantos (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tres Cantos (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tres Cantos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 5)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, México is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	México - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - México	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	México - Racing Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Las Rozas - México	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLLT
- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tres Cantos - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:6 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.25	Tres Cantos - México	3:1
11.05.25	Tres Cantos - México	1:0
11.01.25	México - Tres Cantos	0:2

México - Tres Cantos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide