Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Móstoles CF		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.95	2.06
	3	2.95	2.1
	2.98	2.91	2.09
	3.24	3.08	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (4.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.64)	2.11 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles CF
28.7%

Draw
29.6%

Alcalá
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

20.3%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles CF's performance.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles CF than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+24.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles CF - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Móstoles CF is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcalá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Alcalá have a series of home games.

Alcalá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Móstoles CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.05.21	Móstoles CF - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	San Fernando de Henares - Móstoles CF	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Santa Ana - Móstoles CF	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Móstoles CF - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
04.04.21	Alcalá - Móstoles CF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.05.21	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
02.05.21	Alcalá - Atlético Pinto	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Alcalá - El Álamo	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Alcalá - Móstoles CF	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Alcalá - Siello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.04.21	Alcalá - Móstoles CF	1:0

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