Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Siello

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.85	3.44	3.9
	1.92	3.5	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
48.9%

Draw
27%

Siello
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Móstoles URJC - Siello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Linares N. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Pacheco E. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Iniesta R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 2 - 2, Diaz R. ⚽,
52', 3 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,
55', 3 - 3, Aragon A. ⚽,
58', 3 - 4, Nacho ⚽,
77', 3 - 5, Pacheco E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Móstoles is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Siello's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Móstoles is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11
17	Siello	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	Móstoles URJC - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLTL
- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	Racing Madrid - Siello	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Siello - Las Rozas	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Siello - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Madrid C - Siello	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Siello - Móstoles URJC	1:2
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0
24.09.23	Siello - Móstoles URJC	0:3

Móstoles URJC - Siello: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide