Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Móstoles URJC		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	4.2	3.4	1.76
	4.67	3.15	1.8
	4.57	3.28	1.77	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.8
	4.76	3.3	1.76
	4.2	3.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.89)	3.28 ↓ (3.41)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
20.6%

Draw
27.8%

Talavera de la Reina
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

26.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Ricoy L. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Rodriguez V. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Navarro I. ⚽,
90', de la Rosa G. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Móstoles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
24.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Tenerife B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
01.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Coria	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Conquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches