Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.6
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.6	2.85	2.7
	2.87	2.99	2.57
	2.78	2.93	2.58	Watch
	2.8	2.92	2.56
	2.6	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.93)	2.88 ↓ (2.97)	2.6 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
33.6%

Draw
31.5%

Talavera de la Reina
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

31.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Solano R. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Cambra J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Urain E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 3, Cambra J. ⚽,
80', Arauz C. 🟨,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Talavera is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
03.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Coria	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Conquense	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.05.24	Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero	0:1
07.01.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.03.18	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	4:0
28.10.17	Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero	1:0

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