Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Talavera de la Reina		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.5	5.8
	1.47	3.35	5.8
	1.56	3.43	6.35	Watch
	1.59	3.52	5.92
	1.57	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.77)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	5.81 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
58.2%

Draw
26.2%

Coria
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Talavera de la Reina - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Solano R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Arroyo N. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Paez A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Talavera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Talavera to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Conquense	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Real Madrid C - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWTT
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Coria - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
17.11.24	Melilla - Coria	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Coria - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Coria - Elche	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL

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