Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:00	Footballclub


	Talavera de la Reina		Conquense

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	4.75
	1.83	2.9	4.33
	1.84	2.95	4.6
	1.9	2.92	4.83
	1.98	2.93	4.14	Watch
	1.86	3.04	4.63
	1.84	2.95	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	2.94 ↓ (3.06)	4.55 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
48.9%

Draw
31%

Conquense
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Talavera de la Reina - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Arroyo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Real Madrid C - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Melilla - Conquense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Conquense - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.10.26	Atlético Madrid C - Talavera de la Reina	✺
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Conquense - Alcalá	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.26	Conquense - Castellón	✺

Talavera de la Reina - Conquense