Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali) 🌤️ ...


	Mġarr United		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.00	23.00	23.00	Watch
	1.06	10	23
	1.03	10.5	42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.04)	14.5 ↑ (10.41)	29.33 ↓ (30)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
90.4%

Draw
6.4%

Mtarfa
3.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.1%

8.8%

3.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Borg A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Vella T. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Fenech M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 4 - 0, Vella T. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent performances by Mġarr United have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mtarfa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mġarr United is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mgarr	5	3	0	2	7:5	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
14.02.26	Gudja United - Mġarr United	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mġarr United - Fgura United	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Mġarr United - Mosta	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.26	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLW
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.26	Mtarfa - Sirens	0:8 ✺
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
31.01.26	Swieqi United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
18.01.26	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	1:3
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	1:0
Maltese Challenge League
19.10.24	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	0:2

Mġarr United - Mtarfa