Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mġarr United		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.63	3.42	2.31
	2.74	3.49	2.29
	2.77	3.32	2.29
	2.65	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
33.9%

Draw
26.6%

Pietà Hotspurs
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono J. (G) 15. Borg A. (C) 4. Camilleri R. 29. Donsu K. 18. Ebisindor C. 8. Frendo K. 11. Gauci C. 6. Howland T. 24. Mifsud M. 5. Mijic L. 2. Vukovic D.	1. Cini R. (G) 14. Abela D. 2. Catania K. 4. Cutajar I. 17. Leonardi K. 22. Leonardi Z. (C) 27. Mannino G. 31. Melillo T. 10. Micallef J. 18. Ueda H. 3. Vella K.
Substitutes
7. Azzopardi K. 23. Boakye S. 12. Chircop J. (G) 22. Galea Z. 16. Okoh S. 3. Parnis J. 14. Zammit C. 19. Zammit J. 88. Zerafa J.	9. Arthur 6. Borg S. 13. Farrugia J. (G) 25. Gatt I. 8. Gatt L. 15. Kabar H. 29. Mangion Z. 7. Xuereb G. 11. Zammit A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Ebisindor C. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Mijic L. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ueda H. ⚽,
43', Leonardi Z. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Frendo K. ⚽,
45+1', Abela D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Abela D. ↓, Arthur ↑,
61', Micallef J. ↓, Gatt L. ↑,
61', Vukovic D. ↓, Zammit C. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Xuereb G. ⚽,
73', Ebisindor C. ↓, Boakye S. ↑,
77', Gatt L. 🟨,
80', Borg A. 🟨,
83', Leonardi K. ↓, Kabar H. ↑,
83', Frendo K. ↓, Azzopardi K. ↑,
83', Gauci C. ↓, Zammit J. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Azzopardi K. ⚽,
90+2', Catania K. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Pietà Hotspurs have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mġarr United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mġarr United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Mġarr United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	5:3 ✺
25.01.25	Mġarr United - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Sirens - Mġarr United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLTT
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
16.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
23.11.24	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	4:0
13.02.22	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	0:2

Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide