Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.65	2.22
	2.52	3.7	2.28
	2.56	3.8	2.28	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.2
	2.58	3.7	2.37	Watch
	3.36	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.36)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	2.2 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
33.6%

Draw
25.1%

Warta Sieradz
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.2%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mławianka Mława's performance.

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Sieradz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Orzel A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Drzazga K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
81', 1 - 2, Drzazga K. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Krecichwost B. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Cegielka M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 2.

Warta Sieradz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warta Sieradz	11	4	3	4	19:19	0	15
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.11.25	Legia II - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mławianka Mława - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Mławianka Mława - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWL
- Warta Sieradz
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Sieradz	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.11.25	ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wigry Suwałki - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	3:0
24.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz	4:0
02.11.24	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	2:0
08.06.24	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	0:2
18.11.23	Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz	1:3
29.04.23	Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz	0:1
24.09.22	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	2:2

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