Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	ML Vitebsk		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.22	3.59
	2.02	3.4	3.8
	1.7	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
48.5%

Draw
27.9%

Slavia Mozyr
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.

Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slavia Mozyr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Mozyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

ML Vitebsk - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 3. Baranok N. 10. Nikiforenko O. 14. Lisakovich R. 4. Abdullahi O. 18. Zhuk V. 8. Rusak S. 20. Volkov Z. (C) 77. Mazurich A. 66. Karpovich S. 90. Antilevskiy D.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 3. Davydov V. 11. Gulko I. 12. Ivanov A. 7. Ivanov N. 13. Poloz V. 9. Batyshchev O. 18. Melnikov N. 49. Dzhigero A. (C) 31. Solovey A. 22. Lukashov A.
Substitutes
88. Bozhko E. 55. Bykov N. 5. Chuduk A. 22. Eldarushev A. 17. Galyata D. 70. Juninho 27. Mesarovic A. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A. 9. Zherdev G.	27. Chikida P. 21. Kirilenko K. 19. Kotlyarov P. 6. Kuznetsov Y. 30. Likhtin V. 44. Lutsevich T. 5. Sachkovskiy M. 14. Sazonchik S. 23. Shelikov D. (G)
Coaches
Shagoyko A.	Bionchik I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Mazurich A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Ivanov N. (Pen),
31', 1 - 2, Ivanov A. ⚽,
32', Antilevskiy D. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
32', Rusak S. ↓, Galyata D. ↑,
40', Zhuk V. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Abdullahi O. ↓, Mesarovic A. ↑,
47', Karpovich S. 🟨,
54', Volkov Z. 🟨,
57', Gulko I. ↓, Chikida P. ↑,
63', Mazurich A. ↓, Juninho ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Poloz V. ⚽,
80', Davydov V. ↓, Sachkovskiy M. ↑,
80', Poloz V. ↓, Kuznetsov Y. ↑,
87', Juninho 🟨,
89', Solovey A. ↓, Lutsevich T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Baranok N. ⚽, Juninho (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Slavia Mozyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.25	Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.25	Spartak Moscow - ML Vitebsk	5:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
30.08.25	Smorgon - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.09.25	Slavia Mozyr - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Slavia Mozyr	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Slavia Mozyr - Slutsk	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Dinamo Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Slavia Mozyr - Gomel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.05.25	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	0:2
Belarusian Cup
27.07.24	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	0:2 ET

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