Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Neman (Grodno)

Referee: Stetsurin S. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Neman Grodno		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.45	1.77
	4.2	3.3	1.73
	4.91	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.99)	3.42 ↓ (3.9)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
20.8%

Draw
26.8%

ML Vitebsk
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.8%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Veydyger K. (G) 2. Tonkevich V. 4. Vasiljev A. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 8. Pantya Y. 9. Pushnyakov S. 24. Yakimov A. 15. Evdokimov O. 19. Dayneko A. 47. Kozlov M. 33. Spataru D.	1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 3. Baranok N. 6. Gomanov K. (C) 45. Moskalenchik I. 27. Mesarovic A. 4. Abdullahi O. 22. Skibskiy Y. 14. Lisakovich R. 21. Glushkov N. 79. Diabate B. 80. Kontsevoy A.
Substitutes
10. Borubaev G. 30. Ednach A. 62. Gordeychuk M. 18. Kravtsov M. 28. Levchenko B. 16. Matysyuk N. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 37. Radikovskiy D. 88. Savitskiy P. 23. Yormie T.	99. Bulanov M. 25. Bykov N. 17. Galyata D. 7. Ivanov T. 11. Nicholson S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 18. Zhuk V.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.	Adiev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Pushnyakov S. ⚽, Tonkevich V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Pushnyakov S. ↓, Radikovskiy D. ↑,
57', Dayneko A. ↓, Savitskiy P. ↑,
61', Glushkov N. ↓, Galyata D. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Abdullahi O. ⚽, Galyata D. (A),
65', Yakimov A. ↓, Nazarenko A. ↑,
68', Nazarenko A. 🟨,
68', Spataru D. ↓, Yormie T. ↑,
69', Evdokimov O. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
71', Diabate B. 🟨,
79', Yormie T. 🟨,
80', Diabate B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
80', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Zhuk V. ↑,
87', Skibskiy Y. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Zhuk V. ⚽, Abdullahi O. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Neman has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ML Vitebsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ML Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Neman won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Neman won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 42.94% Neman: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	25	44
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26:20	6	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.05.26	Baranovichi - Neman Grodno	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Neman Grodno - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Neman Grodno - Belshina	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Slavia Mozyr - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWT
- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.05.26	ML Vitebsk - Gomel	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - ML Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	ML Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Dinamo Minsk - ML Vitebsk	2:3 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.04.26	Dinamo Minsk - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Super Cup
28.02.26	ML Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	2:3 penalties
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.25	Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk	3:1
03.05.25	ML Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	1:0

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