The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smorgon 12.1%
Draw 18.8%
ML Vitebsk 69.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
27.3%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
26.9%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smorgon's form might have worsened.
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ML Vitebsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smorgon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Smorgon - ML Vitebsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ML Vitebsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 20. Tonkevich V. 33. Fazylov A. 3. Intsoen C. 5. Firsov A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 2. Bamba M. 7. Levkovets A. 15. Babich E. 6. Doumbia S. 17. Dukso M. (C)
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 66. Karpovich S. 20. Volkov Z. 13. Zaleskiy A. 23. Balanovich S. (C) 17. Galyata D. 2. Nosko A. 22. Eldarushev A. 21. Glushkov N. 27. Mesarovic A. 70. Juninho
Substitutes
18. Aliyu H. S. 19. Azarko M. (G) 25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 88. Kukhlejj R. (G) 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.
4. Abdullahi O. 90. Antilevskiy D. 3. Baranok N. 88. Bozhko E. 10. Nikiforenko O. 8. Rusak S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 9. Zherdev G. 18. Zhuk V.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.
Shagoyko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Glushkov N. (A),
18', Nosko A. 🟨,
26', Volkov Z. 🟨,
28', Intsoen C. 🟨,
38', Nosko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galyata D. ↓, Abdullahi O. ↑,
46', Glushkov N. ↓, Baranok N. ↑,
54', Dukso M. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
64', Juninho ↓, Nikiforenko O. ↑,
64', Mesarovic A. ↓, Rusak S. ↑,
66', Karpovich S. 🟨,
68', Fazylov A. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
73', Baranok N. 🟨,
74', Balanovich S. ↓, Zhuk V. ↑,
74', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
75', Babich E. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
75', Rusak S. 🟨,
86', Nikiforenko O. 🟨,
90+1', Rusak S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Smorgon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
ML Vitebsk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
ML Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
In this match, ML Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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Vasilyuchek V. (G) 
Intsoen C. 
Bamba M. 
Eldarushev A. 
Mesarovic A. 
Juninho 
Aliyu H. S. 
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