The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MOF Customs United 8.4%
Draw 17.2%
Nakhon Si United 74.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
24.9%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
24%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MOF Customs United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MOF Customs United's form might have worsened.
Nakhon Si United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nakhon Si United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOF Customs United than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MOF Customs United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (-20.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nakhon Si United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Customs United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nakhon Si is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Customs United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Nakhon Si is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Customs United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Customs United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.