Match Info

I Liqa - Round 12

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday


	MOIK Baku		Şəfa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.8	1.65	Watch
	3.00	3.55	2.09	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4.63	3.78	1.61
	4.33	3.8	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.85)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
22.2%

Draw
24.6%

Şəfa
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şəfa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

MOIK Baku - Şəfa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - MOIK (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Şəfa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Şəfa will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. MOIK (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Şəfa (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Aliyev N. ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Mardanov Z. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Şəfa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Şəfa is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, MOIK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
17.12.25	Zagatala - MOIK Baku	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	MOIK Baku - Shimal	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Difai Ağsu - MOIK Baku	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Səbail - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLL
- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
19.12.25	Cəbrayıl - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
11.12.25	Şəfa - Zagatala	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.25	Gabala - Şəfa	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.25	Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Şəfa - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
02.10.25	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	4:1

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