Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Yud-Alef Stadium (Ashdod)

Referee: Layba I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	MS Ashdod		Ironi Kiryat Shmona

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.45
	2.66	3.53	2.47	Watch
	2.74	3.32	2.42	Watch
	2.66	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.81)	3.32 (3.32)	2.45 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
34.5%

Draw
27.8%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.1%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

MS Ashdod - Ironi Kiryat Shmona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ashdod will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ironi Kiryat Shmona will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ashdod (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ashdod (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemczycki K. (G) 16. Yashilirmak M. 4. Awany T. (C) 3. Diakite I. 87. Amer M. 10. Tamam I. 30. Agyei E. 14. Muche N. 19. Yamin A. 29. Batoum J. 13. Ansah E.	19. Tenenbaum D. (G) 20. Darwish O. 26. Ljubisavljevic N. 32. David S. 91. Shaheen B. 70. Martinez C. 6. Benbenishti O. 87. Abu Rumi M. 10. Sharetzky A. 7. Mordechai Y. (C) 9. Ugarriza A.
Substitutes
7. Dabush N. 71. Danziger A. 17. Farada L. 8. Gordana R. 18. Hadadi B. 9. Harush S. 1. Karmi R. (G) 26. Kimvuidi K. 20. Tal R.	12. Al Halabi J. 22. Alli W. M. 44. Deri L. 14. Goldenberg H. 25. Karadi Y. 18. Shnaper O. 17. Sholmyster I. 28. Vaier I. 1. Zalmanovich M. (G)
Coaches
Silvas H.	Barda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Ugarriza A. ⚽, Benbenishti O. (A),
19', Amer M. 🟨,
22', Abu Rumi M. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 0 - 2, Abu Rumi M. ⚽,
28', David S. 🟨,
28', Yashilirmak M. ↓, Gordana R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Muche N. ↓, Kimvuidi K. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Darwish O. ⚽, Benbenishti O. (A),
57', 0 - 4, Mordechai Y. ⚽, David S. (A),
58', Amer M. ↓, Farada L. ↑,
58', Yamin A. ↓, Dabush N. ↑,
62', 0 - 5, Sharetzky A. ⚽,
64', Shaheen B. ↓, Sholmyster I. ↑,
64', Sharetzky A. ↓, Alli W. M. ↑,
66', 1 - 5, Kimvuidi K. ⚽, Batoum J. (A),
68', Batoum J. ↓, Tal R. ↑,
73', Abu Rumi M. 🟨,
75', Ugarriza A. ↓, Al Halabi J. ↑,
79', Darwish O. ↓, Vaier I. ↑,
79', Ljubisavljevic N. ↓, Deri L. ↑,
87', 2 - 5, Dabush N. ⚽, Gordana R. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 3.

Ashdod is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T. (Knee Injury) Bitton N. (Inactive) Levi A. (Injury) Meir R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ironi Kiryat Shmona: Avraham A. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashdod won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Kiryat Shmona	5	1	0	4	5:11	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

MS Ashdod - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod	1:0 ✺
31.12.25	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Haifa	0:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod	3:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - MS Ashdod	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.01.26	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:3 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
27.09.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	1:2
10.05.25	MS Ashdod - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	4:2
22.12.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	3:2
31.08.24	MS Ashdod - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1
28.01.23	MS Ashdod - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:1
10.10.22	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	1:1
01.05.22	MS Ashdod - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:3

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