Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 35

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)


	MTK Budapest		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.6	3.9	4.25
	1.78	4.17	3.71
	1.72	3.74	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)	4.08 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
54%

Draw
23.6%

Ajka
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

MTK Budapest - Ajka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ajka will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 3).

MTK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match MTK is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches MTK won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams MTK won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB II
27.04.23	Tiszakécske - MTK Budapest	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	MTK Budapest - Soroksár	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Siofok - MTK Budapest	2:1 ✺
13.04.23	MTK Budapest - Szombathelyi Haladas	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
26.04.23	Ajka - Gyirmót	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ajka - Pecsi	1:0 ✺
12.04.23	Szeged 2011 - Ajka	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Tiszakécske - Ajka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
09.11.22	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:3
23.02.20	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:0
28.08.19	MTK Budapest - Ajka	4:4
Hungarian Cup
05.12.18	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:1
Club Friendly
05.02.13	MTK Budapest - Ajka	4:0

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